Covid: S5 Hazard Identification
I don't believe in luck. Karma yes. Luck no.
Some basic facts.
- NZ was in its summer. While the northern hemisphere was in its winter "flu season"
- NZ has a large expanse of water between us an our nearest neighbor, so we don't have people strolling over our borders spreading things.
- While we think we are a tourist mecca / Business hub we are not. We do not have nearly the number of visitors going through our wee International airports compared with the other major infected cities.
- we are a country of two major islands which instantly creates some physical distancing across our whole population
- We may think Auckland is a large city . It isn't. It is sprawling and does not have nearly the population density of other cities where this virus has spread.
- We have pretty good primary health care services with "free" public health so we do not have a population with underlying health problems that are not being treated.
- While we have an aging population, it is not yet that old. And most of them do not smoke and thus don't have the underlying respiratory problems.
- we are not a "close physical contact" culture. We do not get really close to our friends, family and associates.
That is all "pre-management"
Once the first significant management step took place mid/late March (closing our borders to people other than Nz'ers), then things really started to improve - but that improvement was off an extremely low base of illness.
I see my original post was 28 days ago. As expected there have only been 59 new cases and 13 of them are Nz'ers who have arrived in the country. The remaining are related to clusters. All quite foreseeable and nothing to do with luck